January Burn Conditions Set Records January 19, 2006
Burning Index.doc
Burning Index.pdf
January Burn Conditions Set Records
By Mark Shafer
Director of Climate Information
The Oklahoma Climatological Survey
1/19/2006
If you can't remember the last time there were this many fires around Oklahoma, it probably isn't just your memory playing tricks on you. Statewide, January 2006 is posting some record numbers on the Oklahoma Mesonet's fire danger model (http://agweather.mesonet.ou.edu/models/fire/). Ninety-seven of the 104 Mesonet stations that have been continuously operated since 1997, when the model was developed, reported their highest January values of burning index on record. Fifty-eight of those stations also reported their highest January Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KDBI) values on record.
Burning index is a measure of a fire's intensity, rate of spread, and height of flames. Values greater than 40 indicate conditions where fires may get out of hand. As values exceed 80, even equipment such as brush pumpers become ineffective at putting out the fires.
From January 1st through the 18th, 85 Mesonet sites have recorded a burning index on one or more days exceeding 80. Sixty-eight of these sites have had values over 100. By comparison, over the previous 9 years, only 31 sites had ever exceeded 80 in January, and just 8 sites topped out over 100. The 'average station' in Oklahoma this January has a peak burning index of 106 - 49% higher than any previous January.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index, which measures the dryness of the upper soil layers, has an average peak this month of 433, with 10 stations exceeding 600. Values over 400 contributes to the intensity of wildfires, and when KDBI reaches over 600 even the roots of plants buried in the soil can burn.
Normally, this time of year, KDBI values are less than 200 nearly statewide, and only routinely exceed 400 during the summer months. High KDBI values in Eastern Oklahoma during January have not been recorded since 1997 - until this year. Burning Index usually peaks in September, although high-fire conditions have been recorded at all times of the year.
There are many ways of measuring drought and wildfire intensity, but by whatever measure you choose, Oklahoma is dry. Very dry.
NAME | COUNTY | Jan 2006 Burning Index | Jan 2006 KDBI | BI Max (1997-2005) | KDBI Max (1997-2005) | BI Difference | KDBI Difference | Acme | Grady | 169 | 519 | 97 | 589 | 72 | -70 | Ada | Pontotoc | 103 | 405 | 66 | 315 | 37 | 90 | Altus | Jackson | 156 | 306 | 123 | 563 | 33 | -257 | Antlers | Pushmataha | 70 | 650 | 50 | 186 | 20 | 464 | Apache | Caddo | 108 | 370 | 76 | 563 | 32 | -193 | Arnett | Ellis | 111 | 505 | 73 | 499 | 38 | 6 | Beaver | Beaver | 91 | 271 | 88 | 586 | 3 | -315 | Bessie | Washita | 82 | 293 | 77 | 494 | 5 | -201 | Bixby | Tulsa | 99 | 527 | 44 | 103 | 55 | 424 | Blackwell | Kay | 147 | 311 | 69 | 483 | 78 | -172 | Boise City | Cimarron | 126 | 452 | 88 | 469 | 38 | -17 | Bowlegs | Seminole | 52 | 512 | 37 | 195 | 15 | 317 | Breckinridge | Garfield | 127 | 247 | 62 | 490 | 65 | -243 | Bristow | Creek | 97 | 305 | 62 | 189 | 35 | 116 | Buffalo | Harper | 66 | 232 | 118 | 635 | -52 | -403 | Burbank | Osage | 114 | 470 | 68 | 505 | 46 | -35 | Burneyville | Love | 127 | 535 | 91 | 594 | 36 | -59 | Butler | Custer | 67 | 263 | 71 | 572 | -4 | -309 | Byars | Garvin | 140 | 496 | 73 | 304 | 67 | 192 | Calvin | Hughes | 105 | 420 | 61 | 122 | 44 | 298 | Camargo | Dewey | 107 | 480 | 101 | 520 | 6 | -40 | Centrahoma | Coal | 103 | 392 | 75 | 308 | 28 | 84 | Chandler | Lincoln | 119 | 491 | 66 | 173 | 53 | 318 | Cherokee | Alfalfa | 75 | 207 | 117 | 663 | -42 | -456 | Cheyenne | Roger Mills | 101 | 354 | 97 | 574 | 4 | -220 | Chickasha | Grady | 108 | 504 | 59 | 493 | 49 | 11 | Clayton | Pushmataha | 73 | 556 | 44 | 234 | 29 | 322 | Cloudy | Pushmataha | 89 | 606 | 56 | 101 | 33 | 505 | Cookson | Cherokee | 40 | 504 | 36 | 60 | 4 | 444 | Copan | Washington | 93 | 400 | 66 | 419 | 27 | -19 | Durant | Bryan | 131 | 662 | 74 | 182 | 57 | 480 | El Reno | Canadian | 136 | 338 | 81 | 430 | 55 | -92 | Erick | Beckham | 108 | 415 | 82 | 518 | 26 | -103 | Eufaula | McIntosh | 138 | 663 | 57 | 200 | 81 | 463 | Fairview | Major | 112 | 408 | 81 | 528 | 31 | -120 | Foraker | Osage | 109 | 425 | 73 | 480 | 36 | -55 | Fort Cobb | Caddo | 173 | 412 | 97 | 586 | 76 | -174 | Freedom | Woodward | 117 | 223 | 102 | 493 | 15 | -270 | Goodwell | Texas | 114 | 427 | 95 | 659 | 19 | -232 | Guthrie | Logan | 135 | 337 | 64 | 188 | 71 | 149 | Haskell | Muskogee | 61 | 622 | 46 | 136 | 15 | 486 | Hectorville | Okmulgee | 131 | 471 | 53 | 120 | 78 | 351 | Hinton | Caddo | 129 | 215 | 91 | 633 | 38 | -418 | Hobart | Kiowa | 115 | 225 | 98 | 430 | 17 | -205 | Hollis | Harmon | 102 | 320 | 112 | 546 | -10 | -226 | Hooker | Texas | 92 | 421 | 82 | 583 | 10 | -162 | Hugo | Choctaw | 113 | 646 | 73 | 151 | 40 | 495 | Idabel | McCurtain | 122 | 593 | 67 | 345 | 55 | 248 | Jay | Delaware | 46 | 509 | 37 | 99 | 9 | 410 | Kenton | Cimarron | 97 | 472 | 83 | 446 | 14 | 26 | Ketchum Ranch | Stephens | 163 | 490 | 91 | 234 | 72 | 256 | Kingfisher | Kingfisher | 74 | 261 | 58 | 402 | 16 | -141 | Lahoma | Major | 87 | 311 | 64 | 458 | 23 | -147 | Lane | Atoka | 123 | 575 | 73 | 168 | 50 | 407 | Madill | Marshall | 106 | 547 | 73 | 354 | 33 | 193 | Mangum | Greer | 92 | 258 | 85 | 604 | 7 | -346 | Marena | Payne | 51 | 300 | 71 | 405 | -20 | -105 | May Ranch | Woods | 80 | 364 | 61 | 504 | 19 | -140 | McAlester | Pittsburg | 116 | 664 | 64 | 399 | 52 | 265 | Medford | Grant | 119 | 385 | 81 | 471 | 38 | -86 | Medicine Park | Comanche | 137 | 426 | 89 | 590 | 48 | -164 | Miami | Ottawa | 123 | 490 | 54 | 362 | 69 | 128 | Minco | Grady | 183 | 495 | 97 | 435 | 86 | 60 | Mt Herman | McCurtain | 61 | 629 | 34 | 224 | 27 | 405 | Newkirk | Kay | 99 | 186 | 90 | 506 | 9 | -320 | Ninnekah | Grady | 141 | 424 | 85 | 546 | 56 | -122 | Nowata | Nowata | 101 | 393 | 58 | 149 | 43 | 244 | Oilton | Creek | 46 | 404 | 38 | 345 | 8 | 59 | Okemah | Okfuskee | 112 | 439 | 57 | 178 | 55 | 261 | Okmulgee | Okmulgee | 52 | 541 | 42 | 265 | 10 | 276 | Pauls Valley | Garvin | 113 | 438 | 67 | 363 | 46 | 75 | Pawnee | Pawnee | 53 | 341 | 67 | 303 | -14 | 38 | Perkins | Payne | 116 | 361 | 57 | 315 | 59 | 46 | Pryor | Mayes | 58 | 552 | 38 | 180 | 20 | 372 | Putnam | Dewey | 97 | 260 | 96 | 530 | 1 | -270 | Red Rock | Noble | 119 | 273 | 77 | 354 | 42 | -81 | Retrop | Washita | 127 | 262 | 118 | 533 | 9 | -271 | Ringling | Jefferson | 159 | 486 | 83 | 380 | 76 | 106 | Sallisaw | Sequoyah | 105 | 525 | 65 | 231 | 40 | 294 | Seiling | Woodward | 93 | 474 | 69 | 443 | 24 | 31 | Shawnee | Pottawatomie | 130 | 471 | 68 | 213 | 62 | 258 | Skiatook | Osage | 47 | 212 | 38 | 230 | 9 | -18 | Slapout | Beaver | 102 | 470 | 68 | 445 | 34 | 25 | Spencer | Oklahoma | 101 | 442 | 42 | 147 | 59 | 295 | Stigler | Haskell | 140 | 592 | 75 | 254 | 65 | 338 | Stillwater | Payne | 124 | 336 | 66 | 413 | 58 | -77 | Stuart | Pittsburg | 130 | 557 | 57 | 231 | 73 | 326 | Sulphur | Murray | 134 | 430 | 64 | 233 | 70 | 197 | Tahlequah | Cherokee | 112 | 581 | 58 | 356 | 54 | 225 | Talihina | LeFlore | 109 | 484 | 63 | 232 | 46 | 252 | Tipton | Tillman | 104 | 487 | 66 | 597 | 38 | -110 | Tishomingo | Johnston | 118 | 429 | 101 | 195 | 17 | 234 | Vinita | Craig | 127 | 600 | 62 | 349 | 65 | 251 | Walters | Cotton | 117 | 519 | 68 | 490 | 49 | 29 | Washington | McClain | 130 | 556 | 72 | 403 | 58 | 153 | Watonga | Blaine | 97 | 195 | 78 | 432 | 19 | -237 | Waurika | Jefferson | 127 | 367 | 77 | 441 | 50 | -74 | Weatherford | Custer | 50 | 241 | 72 | 584 | -22 | -343 | Webbers Falls | Muskogee | 61 | 664 | 50 | 175 | 11 | 489 | Westville | Adair | 121 | 583 | 70 | 107 | 51 | 476 | Wilburton | Latimer | 116 | 597 | 70 | 204 | 46 | 393 | Wister | LeFlore | 94 | 518 | 45 | 270 | 49 | 248 | Woodward | Woodward | 93 | 319 | 62 | 462 | 31 | -143 | Wynona | Osage | 114 | 443 | 65 | 320 | 49 | 123 | AVERAGES | | 106 | 433 | 71 | 373 | 35 | 60 |
Notes:
(1) BI = Burning Index; high values indicate more severe burn conditions
(2) KDBI = Keetch-Byram Drought Index
(3) Jan 2006 = The highest values of BI and KDBI recorded by each Mesonet site from January 1-18, 2006
(4) Max = The highest values of BI and KDBI recorded in the month of January by each Mesonet site for 1997 through 2005
(5) Difference = January 2006 value minus the previous maximum; positive numbers indicate new records
(6) Average = Average of all Mesonet sites (104 stations)
Media Contact:
Cerry Leffler
Oklahoma Climatological Survey
100 E. Boyd, Suite 1210
Norman, OK 73019-1012
405-325-2541
405-325-2550 (fax)
cerry@ou.edu
For Additional Information:
Mark Shafer
Director of Climate Information
100 E. Boyd, Suite 1210
Norman, OK 73019-1012
405-325-2541
405-325-2550 (fax)
mshafer@ou.edu
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